2013年09月21日

UNSCEAR should not dismiss the radiation research achievements and not underestimate the health effect of the Fukushima disaster.

Dear Ms. Jaya Mohan, Communications Specialist UNSCEAR:
CC: UN Secretary General Mr. Ban Ki-moon

It seems that UNSCEAR will publish a report on the Fukushima nuclear disaster underestimating the health effect.

As you know, it has been shown that infant mortality increased after the Chernobyl catastrophe in Finland, Germany, Poland, Sweden, Switzerland though these countries are distant from Chernobyl.

Chernobyl Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment
http://www.strahlentelex.de/Yablokov%20Chernobyl%20book.pdf
7.2.2. Infant Mortality
7.2.2.3. Other Countries
1. FINLAND. Infantmortality increased significantly
immediately after the catastrophe and
continued to rise until 1993 (Figure 7.14).
2. GERMANY. Infant mortality monthly
data, 1980–1994, show two significant post-
Chernobyl peaks, at the beginning and at the
end of 1987 (Figure 7.15).
3. POLAND. Infant mortality monthly data,
1985–1991, show peaks at the beginning and
at the end of 1987 (Figure 7.16).
3. SWEDEN. Infant mortality increased
immediately after the catastrophe and
increased significantly in 1989–1992
(Figure 7.17).
4. SWITZERLAND. Infant mortality rose to
some extent in 1988 and increased significantly
in 1989 and 1990 (Figure 7.18).
As noted above (Section 7.2.2), a total number
of several thousand additional infant deaths
might be expected following the Chernobyl
catastrophe in Europe and other parts of the
world. However, no study will be able to determine
the exact number of added deaths because
the putative trend without the Chernobyl
catastrophe is unknown.

Dr. Alfred Koerblein has also published a paper “Infant mortality in Japan after Fukushima revised English version” on 10 January, 2013.
He found the similar time lags of peak infant mortality after the Chernobyl disaster or Fukushima between West Germany and Japan, suggesting that the mortality peak was caused by radiation.

Infant mortality in Japan after Fukushima revised English version
Dr Alfred Koerblein alfred.koerblein@gmx.de 10 January 2013
http://www.strahlentelex.de/Infant_mortality_in_Japan_after_Fukushima.pdf(Revised English Version)

Summary
Following the nuclear disaster at Fukushima Dai-ichi in March 2011, Japanese infant mortality monthly data exhibit distinct peaks in May 2011 and December 2011, 2 and 9 months respectively after the disaster. After Chernobyl, an analysis of early infant mortality data in West Germany found significant peaks in June 1986 and February 1987, i.e. at similar time lags after the Chernobyl disaster in April 1986. In December 2011, 9 months after Fukushima, there is also a significant deficit in the number of live births in Japan. A similar decline in birth numbers was found in February 1987 in southern Bavaria, the German region most affected by Chernobyl fallout. In Japan as well as Bavaria, the effect is limited to a single month.

Among many other health concerns, I have conducted a preliminary analysis of the mortality in East Japan prefectures after the Fukushima disaster in June 2012, showing that in more contaminated prefectures, higher mortality is observed.

Original Analysis:
http://2011shinsaichiba.seesaa.net/article/273921452.html
Translation:
DISSENSUS JAPAN: The highest disease-caused mortality rises in one or more age segments after Fukushima nuclear accident are seen in relatively contaminated prefectures(East Japan: adult and child morbidity and mortality on a rise in the contaminated regions)
http://dissensus-japan.blogspot.jp/2012/07/east-japan-adult-and-child-morbidity.html

Belgian delegation of UNSCEAR is furious that the report will allegedly dismisses the scientific achievements and underestimates the health effect of the Fukushima disaster. I do share such concern.

Les délégués belges indignés: "On minimise les conséquences de Fukushima" - RTBF Societe
http://www.rtbf.be/info/societe/detail_les-delegues-belges-indignes-on-minimise-les-consequences-de-fukushima?id=8042566

I hope that UNSCEAR will incorporate the recent progress of radiation research after Chernobyl and Fukushima and write the report based on it.

Sincerely,
Mitsumasa Ohta

Save Kids Japan : Even Belgian delegates got mad at Upcoming UNSCEAR Report ベルギー代表団でさえ怒った9月に出るUNSCEAR国連科学委員会報告書
http://savekidsjapan.blogspot.jp/2013/08/even-belgian-delegates-got-mad-at.html

Canard Plus ♡ Tomos Blog: UNSCEAR、怒るベルギー代表:『福島原発事故被害は過小評価されている』
http://vogelgarten.blogspot.de/2013/08/unscear.html
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